Design for Uncertainty: 1. Risk is dynamic, not a static still photograph

Exhibition Panel - Samsui Woman, National Museum of Singapore, March 2013

And investor, bankers and venture capitalists imagine they are taking risks that deem high interest rates when operating in Sub Saharan Africa.

Come now, you do not gamble with your next meal, your risk is static.

What every micro entrepreneur, in the informal economy they're still trying to grasp,* knows is that risk and rewards are dynamic over time. The best one can do is negotiate on time and money and the degree of wriggle room one allows, in order to minimize the volatility of the spikes. Its rarely the amounts that are the problem in cash flow management but the whole pipeline.

This is why ambitious craftsmen across Kenya prefer to save cash money (Savings of anywhere between 18 to 24% interest rates by formal banking industry) to fund their expansion plans, as they've noticed the uber frugal Asian traders do across the railway lines.

Would you be paying those rates for your home improvement loan?

* (92% of employment in India is from the informal sector including agriculture)